Updated April 2026 · FBI UCR 2023 data
Boston, MA vs Providence, RI
Boston, MA reports 309.6 violent crimes per 100,000 residents versus Providence, RI's 582.4/100K — a lower per-capita rate for Boston. On the composite Safety Context Score, Boston grades C (61/100) and Providence grades C (62/100). All figures are FBI Uniform Crime Reporting data for 2023.
How These Two Cities Compare
Boston sits in the "close to the national rate" tier on violent crime; Providence sits in the "modestly above the national rate" tier. That single difference is usually the largest factor in any safety comparison. Per-capita violent crime differs by 1.9x — a substantial gap of 272.8/100K. Differences this large are robust to most reporting and methodology questions. On the composite Safety Context Score, Providence (C, 62/100) outranks Boston (C, 61/100). The score weights violent crime at 40%, property crime at 30%, and the 5-year trend direction at 30%, so a city can rank higher even with a moderately higher current rate if its trend is improving faster.
Boston is a large city (676K residents) while Providence is a mid-size city (191K). Per-capita rates are still directly comparable — that's the point of expressing crime in incidents per 100,000 — but readers should expect the larger city to show somewhat broader offense diversity simply because more people generate more variation.
Boston (+1.0%, stable) and Providence (-11.0%, improving significantly) are on different but not opposite tracks. Trend direction contributes 30% to the Safety Context Score, so a city with a slightly higher current rate but a clearly improving trend can still grade higher.
Fair comparison. Both cities are read in per-capita rates per 100,000 residents — the FBI Uniform Crime Reporting program's standard unit — so population differences do not distort the figures. The U.S. national rate of 363.8/100K violent crime and 1,832/100K property crime is shown alongside both cities for additional context.
Side-by-Side Comparison
| Metric | BostonC | ProvidenceC |
|---|---|---|
| Population | 676K | 191K |
| Safety Score | 61/100 (C) | 62/100 (C) |
| Violent Crime Rate | 309.6 /100K | 582.4 /100K |
| Property Crime Rate | 2,234 /100K | 1,897 /100K |
| Murder Rate | 3.1 /100K | 5.8 /100K |
| Robbery Rate | 65 /100K | 139.8 /100K |
| Assault Rate | 188.9 /100K | 372.7 /100K |
| Burglary Rate | 290.4 /100K | 303.6 /100K |
| 5-Year Trend | +1.0% | -11.0% |
| National Violent Avg | 363.8 /100K | 363.8 /100K |
Lower crime rates highlighted in green. All rates per 100,000 residents.
Tier and Trend Read
Violent-crime tier: close to the national rate. 5-year trend: Stable (+1.0%). Score: C (61/100).
Violent-crime tier: modestly above the national rate. 5-year trend: Improving significantly (-11.0%). Score: C (62/100).
Boston, 5-Year Trend
Per-capita rates per 100,000 residents
Providence, 5-Year Trend
Per-capita rates per 100,000 residents
How the Safety Context Score Is Calculated
The Safety Context Score combines three FBI UCR signals: per-capita violent crime versus the U.S. average (40% weight), per-capita property crime versus the U.S. average (30%), and the direction of the 5-year trend in total crime (30%). Violent and property components use a log-scaled curve so the score does not flatten out at very high ratios; the trend component runs from -20% (max boost) to +20% (max penalty). A city can grade higher than another with a slightly lower current rate if its trend is improving faster — direction is weighted because it matters as much as level for long-run safety reads. Read the full methodology.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Boston or Providence safer?
Providence grades higher on the Safety Context Score (C 62/100 vs C 61/100). The score combines per-capita violent crime (40%), per-capita property crime (30%), and 5-year trend direction (30%), so a city can grade higher even with a moderately higher current rate if its trend is improving faster.
What is the per-capita violent crime difference?
Boston has a 47% lower per-capita violent crime rate than Providence (309.6/100K versus 582.4/100K). The U.S. national rate is 363.8/100K — useful as a third reference point.
What about property crime?
Providence has a 15% lower per-capita property crime rate (1,897/100K vs 2,234/100K). The U.S. average is 1,832/100K. Property crime — burglary, larceny-theft, and motor vehicle theft — is far more common nationally than violent crime in every city, including these two.
Which city has a better 5-year trend?
Providence has the more favorable 5-year trend (-11.0% vs +1.0%). Negative numbers mean per-capita crime fell. Trend direction contributes 30% to the Safety Context Score.
Where does this data come from?
Both cities' figures are sourced from the FBI Uniform Crime Reporting program (UCR), accessed through the FBI Crime Data Explorer at cde.ucr.cjis.gov. Population denominators come from U.S. Census Bureau estimates. The data is public domain and is the same source used by federal agencies, journalists, and academic researchers. Reporting and victimization context is available from the Bureau of Justice Statistics at bjs.ojp.gov.
More City Comparisons
Source: Federal Bureau of Investigation, Uniform Crime Reporting Program (2023), accessed via the FBI Crime Data Explorer. Population denominators from the U.S. Census Bureau. Reporting context from the Bureau of Justice Statistics. Public domain.
Last refreshed 2026-04-06 · All rates per 100,000 residents.
Comparing Boston and Providence on U.S. city and county crime rates requires lining up the underlying the FBI UCR/NIBRS dataset data side by side. The table above runs the comparison on the canonical fields; the narrative below identifies the factor or factors that drive the most meaningful difference between the two.
For households or analysts using this comparison as a decision input, the right framing is usually not "which is better" in aggregate but "which is better for the specific decision in front of you." the FBI UCR/NIBRS dataset captures the raw data; the framing depends on whether the question is investment, residency, planning, or research.